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![]() ![]() Section 4: President & Congress Subject: Elec truck & car fire fires Msg# 1192607
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As time passes, I would expect that safety improvements will be made to reduce the number of fires in EVs.
As a big offset for those potential improvements, there's the unavoidable fact that as any machinery ages, the wear & tear brings out failures. Rust, friction, electrical short circuits and all sorts of unexpected lapses and expensive failures. The public might expect that the high cost battery packages, from $12K to $25K would have premium safeguards built in. But when we learn there's been chemicals producing high temp thermal runaways, its quite disappointing. Seems evident when there's spontaneous combustion and the re-igniting, that safety hasn't been addressed well enough yet. An example is when FORD's band new f-150 trucks spontaneously caught fire. Those vehicles had not been driven at all, Defective expensive batteries from the get go. And now, after the fact, FORD is modifying that battery design. Fire safety officials have pointed out how the result of EV fires have mostly resulted in total losses of the vehicles. Entire costly investment is gone up in smoke. Seems to be "worse case" results. It's one reason why EV insurance is very costly. EV's are Crushingly Costly for many retirees to buy, or to pay the high $$$ insurance on. |
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For reference, the above message is a reply to a message where: OK, here is your reply... You wrote: Consider that as the number of EVs on the road increase, due to government forced adoption, the number of EVs involved in crashes will increase, and the number of ICE vehicles involved in crashes will decrease. This is a simple mathematical reality. The numbers you quoted as to how many of what type of vehicles catch fire per 1000 will change significantly as more EVs are on the road. Again, it's a math problem. And because EVs will burn when they crash, and because EV fires are more difficult and dangerous to put out, it stands to reason that EVs are not as safe as ICE vehicle. What it is, Mark, is fuzzy math. For the sake of conversation, lets say there are 400,000 EVs on the road. At 0.25 fires per 1000 that would be 100 fires. If the number of EVs increases ten-fold to 4,000,000 one would expect the number of EV fires to increase to 1000, all things being equal. That is still 0.25 per 1000. The number of fires per thousand would not increase, just the total number of fires. As time passes, I would expect that safety improvements will be made to reduce the number of fires in EVs. |