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![]() ![]() Section 4: President & Congress Subject: Jobs Data August 1 Msg# 1231198
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PS Today's Dow was down about 542 points, 1.23% |
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For reference, the above message is a reply to a message where: There's certainly plenty of media reports about today's jobs report, and the Dems all have big grins. Yet most swings in the economy will have bumpy trends, and do not move in straight lines. Only a few months ago media and Dems were sure the economy was falling apart when stocks took setbacks due to the uncertainty when Trump first announced his tariffs. Yet recently all that was gone. Recently it's been big reversals as stocks have been recording strong gains & reaching new highs for several weeks or months. BUT today's job report is a new bump in the road, with disappointing jobs numbers. This will again impact stocks, with declines today, and embolden the Dems. And media will be gloating, falsely assuming that Trump's economics are in trouble. Yet there's positive economic factors still in play, to overcome that new report. For example:
Also, it certainly does not help that the FED keeps interest rates high. Those high interest rates are generally intended to slow the economy, whereas low rates are designed to stimulate growth. Growth in the housing market is definitely needed now, with high housing prices slowing the progress of that market. That disappointment can be reflected in stock prices. Among your data, the unemployment rate at 4.2% was up from 4.1%. Again a small bump in the road. As the deportations are now ramping upwards, we can expect that turnover will produce a temporary effect on that number. And in the summer there's the effects of teachers temporarily not working, again temporarily disrupting unemployment numbers. |